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2024-12-13 12:30:04

ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.The yield of 2/10-year German bonds rose by about 8 basis points at most. At the end of the European market on Thursday (December 12), the yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 7.8 basis points to 2.205%, which was in a rising state for most of the day. It was as low as 2.123% at 21:56 Beijing time (shortly after the press conference of European Central Bank President Lagarde began, before the US stock market closed), and then rebounded. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 7.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.204%, which was 1.915% lower than the new low of 21:43 (after the European Central Bank announced the third interest rate cut in the year, after the release of American PPI and before the start of Lagarde's press conference). The yield of 30-year German bonds rose by 6.9 basis points to 2.445%, which was on the rise all day. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.838 basis points to +18.116 basis points, and rose to +20.614 basis points at 21:43. British 10-year bond yields rose by 4.6 basis points, and two-year British bond yields rose by 2.3 basis points. The yield spread of 2/10-year British bonds rose by 2.311 basis points to +8.709 basis points.ECB source: A few policy makers initially agreed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.


Market News: Volkswagen Audi will stop production in Brussels before February 28th.The allocation percentage of the winning interest rate in the four-week national debt auction in the United States from December 12 was 57.75%, and the previous value was 77.28%. The four-week national debt auction in the United States until December 12-the winning interest rate is 4.24%, and the previous value is 4.4%. 4-week national debt auction in the United States from December 12-bid multiple is 3.14, and the previous value is 2.74.Industry ETFs U.S. stocks generally fell in early trading, with regional bank ETFs currently down 1.07%, semiconductor ETFs down 0.98%, banking ETFs down 0.8%, technology ETFs down 0.37%, and Internet stock index ETFs up 0.28%.


Italian 10-year bond yields rose 14 basis points to 3.33%.LME metal futures closed down, while LME copper futures closed down $100 to $9092/ton. LME aluminum closed down $2 to $2,600/ton. LME zinc futures closed down $50 to $3,075/ton. LME lead closed down $38 to $2006/ton. LME nickel futures closed up $310 to $16,168/ton. LME tin closed down $423 to $329,534/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.Italian 10-year bond yields rose 16 basis points to 3.35%, the biggest increase since April.

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